Entropy and John Kerry

There's a crack in the foundation of John Kerry's campaign for President. It's a very small crack but I believe it marks a critical turning point. The beginning of the end started at his nomination as the Democratic Candidate. You might recall in his speech how he took several backhanded swipes at the President and then pleaded for increased civility. It doesn't take a rocket scientist to see the hypocrisy. Possibly as a result, Kerry didn't get the hoped for bounce from the convention.

Next, the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth and the accompanying book, Unfit for Duty, sought to puncture still more holes in Mr. Kerry's contention that his duty qualifies him to be President. Mostly the mass media has ignored the Swift Boat Vets except for a few articles recently that don't even bother to look at any of the individual claims in it. Still, some doubt has been cast on Mr. Kerry's veracity. (Personally, I have no idea if any of the claims in the book are true since I haven't read the book but I think it has people asking some questions. See this article for one description of the elite media reaction. )

Then there are John Kerry's numerous flip-flops. The most recent was his criticism a few days ago of President Bush's proposal to reduce troop levels in Europe and Korea. Kerry labeled this as a foolish and dangerous move yet on August 1st he essentially proposed the same thing in an interview on ABC News.

Finally, the most telling reason I think the Kerry campaign has seen it's zenith comes from a much less scientific observation. Over the last week or so I've noticed an increasing number of people on-air doing John Kerry parodies. They'll wind up their best sonorous voices and begin, "This President..." It's not hard to do a John Kerry parody. I believe even I can do one. In fact, when I hear John Kerry speaking, I notice that he's starting to sound like a parody of himself. That's trouble for the Kerry campaign and it marks a turning point in his efforts.

Still, a lot of things could happen between now and the election. The Republican convention is coming but I'm not expecting a big bounce for the President from it. First of all, as I've said here in the past, I believe the media will spend a large amount of time focusing on the anarchists, communists, and assorted goofballs efforts at disrupting the convention. It gives them the perfect excuse to ignore the President and his party. Also, there's still the specter of a potential terrorist attack and no one can predict how that will play out.

Without any major developments, Kerry will continue to lose ground even with the sympathetic coverage he's gotten from the media elite. The fact is, the more the public learns of this man, his flip-flops and his pandering, the less they like him. All at once now put on your best important sounding senator voice and say it with me, "This President..." because after November 2nd it just won't seem as relevant.